Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.247448 0.291965 0.339250 0.392929 0.451890 0.514409 0.585442
2025-02-09 0.176597 0.234974 0.301573 0.381987 0.475297 0.579088 0.702188
2025-02-16 0.133597 0.200058 0.281169 0.384593 0.510229 0.655390 0.833286
2025-02-23 0.098875 0.167962 0.258306 0.379698 0.533462 0.717138 0.948558
2025-03-02 0.068555 0.134873 0.228515 0.361396 0.536836 0.753162 1.032785
2025-03-09 0.052466 0.118245 0.217635 0.365194 0.566515 0.820854 1.155947
2025-03-16 0.037262 0.098909 0.199564 0.356454 0.577885 0.864519 1.249291
2025-03-23 0.030618 0.092525 0.199683 0.372608 0.622423 0.951117 1.397808
2025-03-30 0.022585 0.080935 0.189584 0.372279 0.643361 1.006630 1.507067
2025-04-06 0.016642 0.071511 0.181433 0.373622 0.665868 1.063977 1.619030
2025-04-13 0.012859 0.065620 0.178444 0.382325 0.698655 1.135307 1.749933
2025-04-20 0.010145 0.061345 0.177674 0.394149 0.735924 1.213051 1.890071
2025-04-27 0.007879 0.057424 0.177284 0.406908 0.775612 1.295895 2.039783
2025-05-04 0.005125 0.049881 0.168300 0.404268 0.791681 1.346037 2.146404
2025-05-11 0.003596 0.045653 0.165545 0.411989 0.823568 1.418738 2.284311
2025-05-18 0.002115 0.039663 0.157669 0.409758 0.839524 1.468814 2.391879
2025-05-25 0.000831 0.031377 0.142288 0.392133 0.829917 1.481496 2.447869
2025-06-01 0.000422 0.028231 0.139113 0.397085 0.856465 1.546676 2.576830
2025-06-08 0.000106 0.023209 0.129456 0.388388 0.860000 1.577859 2.658545
2025-06-15 0.000053 0.022677 0.132758 0.405788 0.907250 1.674176 2.832340
2025-06-22 0.000004 0.019685 0.127726 0.405624 0.924754 1.726320 2.944374
2025-06-29 NaN 0.017246 0.123721 0.407152 0.944937 1.782540 3.062531
2025-07-06 NaN 0.015974 0.123392 0.416419 0.978513 1.859245 3.210363